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January 19, Moody's Investors Service affirmed British Columbia's AAA bond rating with only a few cautions.

January 21, 2018

One of Moody's concerns is the increasing debt burden of Site C:

 

"Further, BC Hydro’s debt is expected to continue to rise over the next several years as the utility moves forward with the construction of the Site C hydroelectric dam with a recently revised cost estimate in excess of CAD10 billion (revised from the previous CAD8.3 billion). With the provincial government’s recent decision to move ahead with the construction of the project, the anticipated increase in debt continues to pressure the province’s rating since it increases the Province’s contingent liability."
                                                                                                    - Moody's Investors Service

 

It should be noted that this comes in direct conflict with Deputy Minister of Finance Lori Wanamaker's claim that Site C cannot be replaced by less expensive and less risky alternatives since it might threaten BC's AAA bond rating: 

 

"BC Hydro’s plan is to significantly reduce the balances in its non-Site C regulatory accounts over the near term. Adding nearly $4 billion of sunk and termination/remediation costs for Site C recovered over the longer term (with no revenue producing assets to show for it) would exacerbate that plan and highlight increased risk of credit rating erosion by rating agencies."

                                                                               - Lori Wanamaker, Deputy Minister of Finance

 

At the heart of the matter is a simple error in finance theory by the BC government. BC Hydro is a wholly owned subsidiary of the province. It will spend at least $10.7 billion dollars by 2024 on Site C. These dollars are financed (many have already been financed) by provincially backed debt. Moody's is concerned about the rising level of debt. Citizens of British Columbia are concerned about the additional $8 billion that the government plans to spend on an asset which could be replaced for $4 billion using renewables such as wind, solar and geothermal.

The government's disagreement with the BCUC over the timing of rate increases is interesting, but largely irrelevant, since the citizens of British Columbia are on the hook for the incremental $8 billion that they will pay through their taxes or electricity rates, when they could pay far less, about $4 billion, if a less risky choice was adopted.

Cancelling Site C therefore reduces, not increases, the risk of a credit downgrade by Moody's.

Ken Boon
President, Peace Valley Landowner Association 

Attend the Site C Summit January 26-27 in Victoria

To bring the best case forward to save the Peace River Valley, our organization together with the Peace Valley Environment Assoc. have incurred expenses, and are now fundraising to help cover those bills.

We ask you to please consider helping by making a donation. 

 

 CLICK HERE TO DONATE!

 

For all past reports and information associated with the Site C decision, visit 
www.peacevalleyland.com/sitecinquiry.

 

 

 

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